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<blockquote data-quote="Thirteen Below" data-source="post: 1032462" data-attributes="member: 18006"><p>I think reaching in the 1st would be out of character for Gutekunst. Not unprecedented, because he did exactly that with 25% of his first rounders - Eric Stokes and Darnell Savage, both of whom were generally projected for the 3rd round. But I'd like to think he learned from the mistake he made with Savage, and as for Stokes? I think it's too early to call him a mistake; he had a terrific rookie year, but each of the last two years he's missed half the season with injuries. I think Savage is the only 1st-rounder you can call an unreasonable reach at this point.</p><p></p><p></p><p>He sees the first round as his best chance in the draft to add a surefire, elite player, a difference-maker, a cornerstone. He goes to whatever lengths he feels necessary to make sure he comes out of Round 1 with a premium player, and he's very reluctant to gamble with it. I don't see a single player that's realistically in a range where he might be tempted to reach.</p><p></p><p>Far more likely he trades up for DeJean or a CB; that fits his pattern a lot more closely. Of the 8 players he's drafted in the first over the last 6 years, he's traded up for 3 of them and down for 2 - and with Jaire in 18, he traded both back and then up again.</p><p></p><p>The 3rd round is where he does his crazy reaching, and to some extent the 2nd. I don't see him doing it in the 1st, especially not this year.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Thirteen Below, post: 1032462, member: 18006"] I think reaching in the 1st would be out of character for Gutekunst. Not unprecedented, because he did exactly that with 25% of his first rounders - Eric Stokes and Darnell Savage, both of whom were generally projected for the 3rd round. But I'd like to think he learned from the mistake he made with Savage, and as for Stokes? I think it's too early to call him a mistake; he had a terrific rookie year, but each of the last two years he's missed half the season with injuries. I think Savage is the only 1st-rounder you can call an unreasonable reach at this point. He sees the first round as his best chance in the draft to add a surefire, elite player, a difference-maker, a cornerstone. He goes to whatever lengths he feels necessary to make sure he comes out of Round 1 with a premium player, and he's very reluctant to gamble with it. I don't see a single player that's realistically in a range where he might be tempted to reach. Far more likely he trades up for DeJean or a CB; that fits his pattern a lot more closely. Of the 8 players he's drafted in the first over the last 6 years, he's traded up for 3 of them and down for 2 - and with Jaire in 18, he traded both back and then up again. The 3rd round is where he does his crazy reaching, and to some extent the 2nd. I don't see him doing it in the 1st, especially not this year. [/QUOTE]
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